![]() |
||
|
|
Welcome to the Exploding Garrmondo Weiner Interactive Swiss Army Penis. |
GFF is a community of gaming and music enthusiasts. We have a team of dedicated moderators, constant member-organized activities, and plenty of custom features, including our unique journal system. If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ or our GFWiki. You will have to register before you can post. Membership is completely free (and gets rid of the pesky advertisement unit underneath this message).
|
![]() |
|
Thread Tools |
Most amazing jew boots |
This thing is sticky, and I don't like it. I don't appreciate it. |
I just don't see the point in a Libertarian president. If Libertarians want their ideals met, they need Congress, not the presidency. Most amazing jew boots
and Brandy does her best to understand
|
Not really. Styphon is correct in that Libertarianism is a revolutionary ideology, but one that requires popular backing. "Getting Congress" wouldn't be a very libertarian thing to do, since using force to gain freedom has its own ethical problems (to libertarians).
I don't buy that a Ron Paul presidency would be a dissapointment to libertarians because he can't do everything he wants. No libertarian worth his salt would expect that a President Paul could live up to everything he'd like to, the point is that Paul is the superior alternative. He's hardly the "perfect" candidate to begin with. The strong border policy is already a point of contention since a lot of libertarians want an open border. I was speaking idiomatically. |
The libertarian ideal on foreign policy, as voiced by Lew Rockwell and his adherents, seems to be strongly based on that of the interwar years, where non-internventionism and free trade were front and center; America left the rest of the world to do as it pleased, and made money selling things to everyone else. One can argue that this attitude of letting the rest of the world do as it pleased was ultimately counterproductive in that it contributed to the rise of militaristic expansion on the part of Germany, Italy, Japan, the Soviet Union and others. One could also argue that the rest of the world slaughtering each other was none of our business. But that's not important right here. What is important is that in the interwar years, this was a viable policy, for three reasons: our massive military potential, our geographic isolation from any potential serious avdersary and our complete economic self-sufficiency. The fact of the matter is that of those reasons no longer apply. Our geographic position means less now than it did sixty years ago, as it is now possible to strike at the United States directly over long distances. Similarly, we are no longer self-sufficient economically, and import vastly more of what we use in our everyday lives, be it oil, electronics, or basic consumer goods. This is itself a result of economic factors, but as a result we have more interests overseas that require our attention. The one of the three that still applies is military might, but libertarianism views standing armies with suspicion, which would, in turn, mean a reduction in forces. Not even allowing for the massive economic disruption that slashing the defense budget would cause, reducing our presence abroad would be conterproductive in other areas, as well. A U.S. withdrawal from East Asia, for instance, would remove the single biggest impediment to China finally retaking Taiwan (and, in the process, gaining control over the source of a significant percentage of the electronics we buy).
On the other hand, Paul could compromise with his ideology in the hopes of getting some of what he wanted done. This, though, would compell his libertarian base to turn on him, like revolutionaries frequently do to apostates, and end with their disappointment. What kind of toxic man-thing is happening now? |
While Pax Americana may provide immediate security for Western interests, it runs the risk of bankrupting the state as we overstretch the empire. I would argue, though, that we should possess a strong navy in order to provide security for shipping lanes, and to act as a deterrent to overseas aggression concerning our trade partners. We did, after all, possess a strong navy in the interwar years despite the public disillusionment with the outside world. I would argue that our geographic position is significant, as no country in the world is capable of the kind of force projection that we are, and while China is constructing its own Blue Water navy, it'd still have to compete with the USN and China itself is flimsier than it would have us believe. The Party constantly teeters on the edge attempting to end a popular revolt, and attempting to commit their own resources to threaten American interests would stretch them too far. What can strike the United States over a long distance are ballistic missiles, yet we already possess the most significant nuclear deterrent on the planet. As for the imports issue, America is most certainly self-sufficient in the sense that we can produce enough food to feed the country. While the standard of living may drop due to some foreign crisis, the danger of involving ourselves in a commitment we can't back out of is even more potentially damaging due to the loss of lives, materiel, and capital. Assuming it was unimpeded, the market sustains itself, and in a situation where the global situation makes it harder to attain goods from abroad, market forces act to encourage self-sufficiency. In the long-term, the most significant threat facing the United States is Islamism, but the ragheads can't just walk over here like they can into Europe. The inherent nature of Arab culture to cause infrastructure to atrophy, and their inability to maintain a powerful economy without oil money would keep a potential Caliphate from ever seriously threatening the United States.
Realistically, I see Paul being more of an abject constitutionalist than an abject libertarian, which is good enough. Most amazing jew boots |
Which would, in a twisted sense, give Paul what he wants in curtailing the executive and restoring Congress to primacy, but doing great damage to the presidency in the process.
Of course, in a below point you talk about trade being unimpeded, and that we should be prepared to use force to protect shipping lanes and trade. German disruption of trade via its submarine campaign would have in turn compelled military intervention anyway. It should also be noted that part of what helped the U.S. maintain its isolation between the world wars was the simple fact that we had been on the winning side in the first one. Not a critical one, but it helped make our absence felt.
Of course, this entangles us with them, since we have major interests of our own in Taiwan.
Further, the rise in international travel increases the risk of danger coming in undetected via that route. As much as we can all mock Homeland Security, terrorism is still a real danger, and a viable way to strike at the United States.
As long as we need oil, and can't supply all that we need ourselves (which we haven't been able to do for a long time), we will not be economically self-sufficient and it will force us to invest resources (of one kind or another) in securing supplies of oil.
When Congress allocates money to defense, it doesn't just sit in the Pentagon; the Pentagon spends it on various things which it buys from outside companies. Aircraft, for instance, come mainly from three companies: Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman. These three are the giants of the American aerospace industry, and all are dependent on Defense Department contracts for the majority of their revenue. Any major cut in defense spending would hurt companies like them immensely, forcing them to layoff thousands of their employees. Since those employees would now not be spending their huge salaries on things, that will spread disruption throughout the economy, causing other people to lose their jobs. It would also result in the effective end of the American aerospace industry. Northrop Grumman also controls most military shipbuilding in this country (which, by and large, is all the shipbuilding we still do here), so any loss in revenue they face will harm that industry, too, and cause still more disruptions. And finally, since military equipment is a significant part of what we export, serious losses felt by defense contractors would bring down that part of the economy, too. (I can't help but feel I've had this conversation before.)
Also, South Korea still has to be concerned about China to some extent, and Europe still serves as a forward base for American forces if they need to be deployed elsewhere, such as the Middle East.
![]() I'll bet he never says another word to you again.
This isn't restricted to the Libertarians, though; the Greens could be said to have made the same mistake in selecting Cobb over Nader. This may also be why Paul isn't even bothering with them this time. What, you don't want my bikini-clad body? |
When fuel demands are removed, the billions of barrels of oil that we have both in reserve, and unextracted can be focused on meeting the demands for synthetic products such as plastics. At some point when oil begins to become uneconomic for even that, then drives to produce synthetic oil for industrial purposes becomes economical. We're perfectly capable of being energy independent, and oil independent. The only problem are special and corporate interests.
As for Northrup Grumman's toy boats, the loss of revenue from aerospace contracts would effect their shipbuilding if such affairs aren't cost-effective to begin with, which is practically impossible since they are payed through government contract.
I think we're both making a mistake assuming that Libertarians make up a large part of Paul's base to begin with. What does his constituency in Texas look like? How ya doing, buddy? |
Just for a personal flavor:
Three of the five biggest employers in southern Arizona (Tucson) are Davis-Monthan Air Force Base, Raytheon Missile Systems, and Fort Huachuca. If you cut the defense budget and these two go under, you have the breadwinners for 10% of a fairly significant sector instantly out of work. A sector that has no training outside of building missiles and shooting guns and flying dogfighting jets. I'm not sure how that would cause a "temporary disruption". All of a sudden, 30,000 people and their families stop buying goods from Tucson small business, people move to other places and the real estate market depresses, basically, everything falls apart. You can't open enough new businesses to support that sort of situation and you can't sustain them "temporarily". Now, of course, that is a bit dramatic, the businesses/bases wouldn't fully close. But DMAFB has been on the chopping block here before, and what people say would happen to our economy almost borders on the comical. I'm not worldly enough to know how defense cuts would hurt other places, but I know it would almost destroy Tucson. And I know that a Libertarian would say "well, maybe that means that Tucson deserves to be destroyed if it can't hold itself up in a free market" but that just isn't good enough. Most amazing jew boots
and Brandy does her best to understand
|
You sort of live out in the middle of the desert, buddy. Weren't you saying similar things about New Orleans?
Local economies are going to be impacted, sure, but people move on and get over it. It's also not as if any kind of military budget cut couldn't be prepared for. This thing is sticky, and I don't like it. I don't appreciate it. |
Hmm. I said New Orleans was a ridiculous place to live because it was in a natural disaster hot spot that found itself in ruins every 100 years or so.
No, I don't think I said that New Orleans shouldn't have to worry about the government purposefully destroying its economy. How would you propose anyone to prepare for massive defense cuts? It's not like the US is an economy that has a need for 200,000 (or however many) more workers. Underemployment is the problem in the US, not unemployment, and you're talking about forcing a sizable portion of the population into unemployment. People with little to no expendable wealth (read: no capital to start a business), people without skills outside the defensive complex. Industrial line work (a huge part of defense work) is being moved out of the US by corporations (defense has national security implications and less competition than for a T-shirt), so it's not like these people can just turn to another factory. I am a dolphin, do you want me on your body?
and Brandy does her best to understand
|
Yeah, that's exactly what it is. Any amount of work experience is somewhat marketable, and working in the Defense industry is going to look good on any resume. When an industry fails people have to re-tool themselves to work in another industry, it happens all the time, and the market isn't lacking for wont of labor. If that means that they have to accept lower pay in another field, well that's the way the cookie crumbles, and there's no particular reason that I or consumers in general should care about DOD workers when things like this happen all the time in the private sector.
Business should never be a charity, businesses should exist to achieve maximum efficiency in order to deliver the product or service most wanted by the marketplace in the best possible manner. Most people that get laid-off should be so lucky to get a heads-up like the workers in a hypothetical defense budget cut. Also, I couldn't give a flying fuck what happens to Tucson. There's no good reason my tax dollars can be funnelled out into the desert for some feel-good bullshit that basically amounts to a waste of taxpayer wealth. Towns die and cities die. People have legs, they get over it. Edit: Ultimately what I find hardest to swallow is that these jobs somehow deserve to exist more than others. The money spent by defense workers is only a small funnelling back of what is on the whole lost to the economy, and if much of that financing isn't from taxes, then the situation is even worse. I was speaking idiomatically.
Last edited by Bradylama; Apr 12, 2007 at 01:07 AM.
|
I get that you have this Libertarian ideal economy here, but it is fucking insane to implement if it is at the expense of entire cities. Tucson is just an example and certainly not as dependent on defense as some places. Do all the cities that you don't give a fuck that you are basically turning into ghost towns need to be named?
You say that it looks good on a resume, but who are these people submitting resumes to? Unemployment is low. So some military town's base folds. And, yes, I know you don't give a fuck if that city dies. But what about the people in the city. Where do you think they're going to be able to find jobs? We can't expect that your administration will be giving them any assistance, so their lives will only get harder while they look for work that doesn't exist. In the mean time, people can't buy houses and default on their loans. The price of housing drops, meaning that people who don't even have anything to do with defense or small business start losing money. The stock market dives because no one has money to buy any stock and because no one believes any company will be able to make any headway. There is a reason why the best way to get out of a recession is to start a war. Basically, you want to ruin the economy of the United States and you don't even care. As usual, your libertarian views lack any sort of realism and we are talking about more pointless bullshit in here because of it. What kind of toxic man-thing is happening now?
and Brandy does her best to understand
|
Nobody starts a war to end a recession. Wars damage economies far more than recessions could ever hope to do, and the same principle applies to capital markets. The stock market takes a dive? Really? You honestly expect me to believe that the amount of capital investment from Defense workers and those that service them is enough to send the markets spinning off into a capital crisis? There are far more investors outside of that sphere, with far more capital.
So, basically what you're saying is that Eisenhower was right. Our economy is being held hostage by a military/industrial complex and you don't want to get us out of it because you're afraid of unemployment. Do you have any understanding of the amount of job creation all of that capital moving in the private sector will create? You're also not being particularly realistic here. Any amount of budget cuts for the DOD are going to be gradual so that the injection of unemployed into the economy isn't more than it can bear. It's not as if anybody (particularly Ron Paul) is seriously proposing that we liquidate the DOD overnight and leave millions unemployed all at once. It's a gradual change. And yes, I couldn't give a fuck about any of the cities that rely on defense spending. They're relying on taxpayer money that nobody has consented for their use. It would be far more efficient and beneficial for everybody if that money was being put to the most efficient consumer-driven use, and that people moved to where the money should be naturally. I know plenty of the places that rely on the DOD. We've got a town here in southern Oklahoma located right next to an airforce base. It'd certainly be destroyed if there was a base closure, but that town, like so many others, is just a small part of this state, and its people and capital can easily be absorbed by cities like OKC and Tulsa that have commercial industries. FELIPE NO |
The money for defense comes from the government. If you were a Democrat, you would move it into other sectors. Instead, you just want to remove taxes.
Well, not taxing the unemployed helps no one. The people who have jobs outside defense would likely store their extra take-home pay (due to the failing economy) or buy goods which still would be made in China, since the CEO's of major corporations don't give a fuck if GI Joe has a job or not. People consented for the taxpayer use of defense spending through elections. If you were right, then Libertarians would run the show. I do believe that the economy is held hostage through the military complex and I don't want to get out of it because I fear the collapse of the entire US economy. I do think we should start getting something more for it, I'm tired of us being defenders for half of Europe, who amass tiny little armies because they know we're right around the corner with our huge defense spending if they need us. Start charging countries for the privilege of doing business with us, just like any other transaction. But, while getting rid of defense spending may be ideal, it is also lunacy. What, you don't want my bikini-clad body?
and Brandy does her best to understand
|
Jam it back in, in the dark. |
Forced industrialization and the production of war materials doesn't actually help the economy, though. The government also attempted to ration consumables due to scarcities brought on by the war effort, so the end result encouraged massive saving which caused the boom in consumtion following the war.
When a tank blows up you've lost all of the money and labour put into that tank. When a man blows up you've lost all of his potential labour and the wealth he could have created. While the survivors may benefit presuming that a war doesn't destroy the infrastructure (as was the case for us in both world wars), on the net the war effort causes a loss to the economy in terms of men, capital, and materiel. Any amount of industrialization is essentially "busy work" and doesn't reflect any real creation of wealth. It's the same reason the GDP is an unreliable measure of the economy because it measures all transactions instead of production. The other problem with wars is that they destroy sound money, and generate severe debt and inflation. WW1 devalued gold in the United States, and Roosevelt finished it off by confiscating all of it in the 30's. When government prints money, the inflation of the money supply causes a general inflation of prices, and it's this newly printed money combined with the sale of bonds that finances wars. The problem with this is that the newly printed money is considered legal tender for the current value, so while those at the front receive the full benefit of the dollar (industrialists, bankers, etc.,) over the course of years the general prices will rise to reflect the overabundance of money, while in the meantime real assets were purchased and produced by those immediately receiving the new money. This is what causes "boom" and "bust" cycles, and from a commercial standpoint, the 2nd World War was a 4 year-long bust.
Who do you think pay taxes?
Imports are payed for with exports, and while the chief export of the United States may be the dollar, it's more beneficial for foreign holders of the dollar to re-invest them in American assets.
People do not have any real say in how their tax dollars are used. You're also ignoring the people who do not participate in elections, of which we have a massive amount.
There's nowhere I can't reach. |
All the money that was paid to the workers who worked on the tank goes back into the economy. If those people don't have good jobs, then they don't have good money to spend.
This thing is sticky, and I don't like it. I don't appreciate it.
and Brandy does her best to understand
|
This also doesn't account for modern weapons, such as ballistic missiles (consumables). Tomahawks cost half a million dollars. If somebody actually owned the Tomahawk instead of it being merely possessed by the military, the incentive to use it is drastically decreased. The reason we have wars by and large is because politicians only have to excercise temporary control over military assets.
I am a dolphin, do you want me on your body?
Last edited by Bradylama; Apr 12, 2007 at 03:36 PM.
|
I mean, now what are you saying, that we shouldn't use a Democratic parliamentary system because the guys you like aren't agreed with by enough people to be involved? I was speaking idiomatically.
and Brandy does her best to understand
|
Nevermind either that in any given election there's always a minority, sometimes barely so (and in some cases there are minority governments). You're also not considering the quality of candidates in any given election. Participants may be encouraged to vote for one candidate who will do things they don't like because they consider the other candidate to be even worse. You can make a flimsy claim that in this case they consent to all the bad policies because they elected the particular official, but that's sort of like saying it's ok to let yourself be raped so that people don't take your children. There is no real factor of consent on the voter and taxpayer level in regards to how taxes are distributed. Consider also, "secret programs." How can taxpayers consent to initiatives they don't know about? What kind of toxic man-thing is happening now? |