Originally Posted by Legato
Surely we will need programmers and scientists, but burger flippers and janitors?
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On one level this might be true, at least if it were cost effective to replace minimum wage workers with potentially expensive robots. But for sake of argument, let's say we reach a point where this is the case. So sure, then maybe janitors and fast-food places might have autocleaners and ordering kiosks as their respective replacements for menial laborers. But what about, say, a high-class restaurant? Do you see servers and chefs getting replaced in such establishments as well? Frankly, I don't.
Originally Posted by Legato
I'm just saying that there's going to be significantly less work to go around
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Well, that certainly might be true. On the other hand, I suppose the military's always looking for fresh recruits!
(Although this is sort of a joke, when considering the people who end up signing their lives over to an organization to do with as they please, it does stand to reason that desperation at having nothing else that's significant to do plays a part in it. And mark my words, if as you say, jobs do significantly decrease in the coming years, the military will almost certainly have no further problems in meeting their quotas for enlistment.)
Originally Posted by Legato
So do you think it's accurate to say that the amount of work we find ourselves doing today is nearly the same as the amount we would typically be doing, say, a hundred years ago (on any given part of the planet)? Several hundred years ago? Certainly this is easier and less time consuming than foraging for food and trying to find fallen pieces of wood suitable for making fire
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Actually, in some regards, we live far more stressful lives today than people did, say, a few hundred years ago. The Industrial Revolution brought people together into cities, ending the largely agrarian based society, and planting the seeds that would eventually lead to many of our modern day problems (traffic congestion, urban crime, overcrowding, pollution). See, a few hundred years ago, while people certainly lacked many of the modern conveniences that we have, life also moved at a much slower pace, which by some people's standards may have actually been "easier" in the sense that it was less stressful.
Oh, and they certainly weren't "foraging for food" or "trying to find fallen pieces of wood suitable for making fire," either. Farming has been around for quite some time, believe it or not, and a few hundred years ago, as I said, society was primarily agriculturally based. Life was slow, and productivity certainly wasn't what it is now, but it wasn't like it was a day-to-day struggle just to maintain sustainence.
Originally Posted by Legato
I don't consider my vision of the future "utopian", I look at it as very scary but realistic.
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Originally Posted by Legato
So the end result no sale of information, no sale of physical goods. At that point we'd have no choice but to throw away our selfishness and share what we know, what we've thought of, and what we've experienced.
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Maybe utopian wasn't the right word, but you seemed to indicate here that you believe technology will eventually lead to virtually all goods and services becoming free for all members of society--which is essentially utopia from the perspective of a Marxist-Communist.
(By Marxist-Communist, I mean Communism as originally defined by Karl Marx, a society in which all individuals have free access to that which they need and all classes are disolved; Communism as it applies to Soviet Russia or Communist China or other such countries are not included in this definition.)
Originally Posted by Legato
Secondly, I think our workload is reduced constantly thanks to technology. We have the potential to get any song we want for free right off the internet, at our convenience. Previously - say, twenty years ago - how easy was it to get a copy of a book or tape you didn't want to pay for? You might go the library, but that takes physical effort and some time. You might copy a tape by connecting two tape players, but that takes effort and time as well.
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Like I said:
Originally Posted by Ridan Krad
Looking at the current trend, if anything, the industrial and information ages have only increased the speed at which things occur, and how efficiently. The workload itself, however, remains constant.
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Originally Posted by Legato
You might not be able to take the drive out of the entrepreneurs, but with the right effort you can inadvertently have them shove it up their asses.
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How so?
Unless you intend to regulate the market to the point of no longer rewarding people for their efforts as per the capitalist ideal (which has already been shown historically to not work--see Soviet Russia), then besides mild regulations to avoid monopolies and other negative market factors, there's not much that can be done.
And let me reiterate here that technology, although it will certainly increase the speed and productivity of society, will not ever eliminate work. We've already got tons of machines that could in theory produce everything we need. And yet, workers are still employed. For instance, why does FedEx still use workers to sift through packages, when a machine could be created to to through the packages and take care of the sorting? I think the answer is that machines just aren't up to the challenge of handling things with too many variables. In the case of FedEx, there are many different shapes of packages that come through its offices, so while yes, it does use machines to help with the workload, it always has workers to make sure that things are running smoothly. You might employ a kiosk at McDonalds, but then you'd want some workers standing by in case the thing failed. In retail stores, humans will always work better at handling customers needs, for reasons I hope should be obvious. A bank will always want humans who are trained to know how to deal with robberies, fraud, and any other sort of problem that might emerge (the ability to act well with people again is key here). And the list goes on.
By and large, the point here is that computers function better as supplementary tools for humans rather than as complete replacements, for the simple reason that computers, while efficient, are, well, pretty stupid.
Originally Posted by Legato
Rant:
I think, if anything, a larger number of people are getting fed up with capitalism and what it's brought about. (I consider the concept of communism every day.) One of those things are $20 CDs with 1-3 good tracks, $9 movie tickets to blatantly shitty ass movies that they practically have no choice to see because nothing better came out that Friday, gas prices, etc. But no one wants to step up their game and make good shit, they just want to sue kids and hope it'll stop if the sue enough people to scare millions of users off of The Pirate Bay so they stop downloading their shitty movies.
Go to a fast food joint and get the same goop on top of goop on wedged between a stale bun with a piece of microwaved soybeef in the middle of it. This is capitalism. You can tell these kids are getting paid well and they haven't lost the will to work because they took turns spitting in my burger.
Can't buy a jar of mayo and a box of toaster waffles without knowing either item is probably paying the same conglomerate that's ultimately going to buy another conglomerate until I'm buying my jeans, tootbrushes, and waffles from the same conglomerate.
Capitalism sucks ass.
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No one's forcing you to buy anyone's shit. It's not like you're going to die if you don't see a movie every Friday.
This thing is sticky, and I don't like it. I don't appreciate it.