I don't think we're gonna have a draft any time soon. That doesn't mean I don't think it could happen. Anything is possible. Maybe if we attack Iran, and/or Iraq isn't sorted out in this decade. Though now that Rummy is gone a draft is all the more likely of happening. He was perhaps the biggest opponent to the reinstatement of the military draft given his position.
We're not just going to leave Iraq suddenly now that the Democrats are in power. I seriously doubt this will be the case. For a lot of reasons, namely that the Democrats still support the continuation of the War. Why shouldn't they? They supported the start of it. An exit strategy does not mean we're going to pull our troops from Iraq completely. If history is any indication about what might happen, we're just going to pull our troops back and bomb the living daylights out of the Iraqi insurgency. In support of the Iraqi government forces doing most of the ground fighting -- of course. There's no need for a draft at this point.... Unless I'm wrong.
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Originally Posted by Lord Styphon
Losing 2-3,000 troops in Iraq shouldn't be enough to seriously hurt the U.S. Army, which between the regular army, reserves and National Guard numbers over a million. But it has. The reason for this is the fact that those relatively few casualties predominantly fall on combat personnel, particularly combat infantry,
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I don't buy that. We might have just under 3,000 combat troop deaths in Iraq, but we never hear about the wounded numbers. With modern battlefield medicine advancements, I wouldn't be surprised if the wounded numbered as high as 20,000 or more.
Plus, getting a leg blown off by an IED is bound to constrain a soldier's capacity to wage war. I'll go so far as to say it hurts unit morale and discipline and cite an incident like Haditha as proof. Requiring rest and recreation for morale/discipline to be rebuilt.
Even though we only have roughly 150,000 troops in Iraq; that's a lot of troops to rotate in and out, year after year. Not to mention if the military brass wants to send more. The longer we stay in Iraq the more likely a military draft will happen.
Jam it back in, in the dark.
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