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The Middle East spirals out of control!
Big news as of late. As a result of several Israeli soldiers being killed, and two taken prisoner by Hizbullah militants in Israel, the IDF has launched attacks against Lebanon, which constitutes Hizbullah's base of operations, as well as attacks on the Gaza and Palestine's Hamas-led government, which Israel claims is partially responsible for the kidnappings.
Jam it back in, in the dark. |
Russia intervening on Syria's behalf is ludicrous. Nuclear relations between us and the Russians still operate on MAD. So unless the Russians are perfectly fine engaging Americans in a limited conflict (which they'll lose) they'll be sending off a nuclear tripwire.
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Well, to go back to the start, Hamas militants did by kidnapping that Israeli corporal, and then Hizbullah escalated the conflict by killing eight and capturing two more.
Hizbullah doesn't necessarily represent the interests of the Palestinian people, but they are, however, a legitimate part of Palestinian society. They have a political wing and their own media network, as well as having seats in the Lebanese parliament. The Israelis are attacking Lebanese infrastructure, because it is that very infrastructure that is used by Hizbullah to further its own ends. One could argue from the Israeli standpoint, that the Lebanese haven't done enough to reign in Hizbullah, which isn't exactly fair since in many respects Hizbullah is stronger than the Lebanese government. However, one could argue that Israel needs to step into the region to retrieve their soldiers and severely damage the capabilities of Hizbullah in the Lebanese's stead. What'll be most important about this situation is whether or not the conflict will spread into Syria. If Hizbullah's aim was to start a regional conflict, then releasing information that the captured soldiers are in Syria would be a good way to do it. This thing is sticky, and I don't like it. I don't appreciate it. |
The reason they kidnapped Israeli soldiers in the first place is because a couple years ago, Hamas was able to negotiate the release of 400 prisoners for two soldiers and a handful of corpses.
I am a dolphin, do you want me on your body? |
Right. And if nobody's around to say that you are wrong, then you are right.
Might makes right becuase it forces the acceptance of a certain point of view or policy. The government is always right because we'll get thrown in a Federal penitentiary if we break the law. That doesn't necessarily make laws morally sound, it just means that it's impossible to dissent. Morality really has nothing to do with it. For instance, let's use something silly, like the zombie apocalypse. If people die from a zombie bite, then they will return as a zombie. Is it wrong, then, to shoot them in the head before they turn? It eliminates the risk to the group, but the concept of killing another human being despite the knowlege that they will become a zombie might offend somebody's moral sensibilities, despite the fact that it's a necessary action. The Lebanese can't be faulted for their impotence, but this is what happens when you let terrorists develop a stronger military than your own, and your immediate neighbor would sooner recognize their sovereignty than yours. Is it tragic that innocent Lebanese are dying because Hezbollah crossed the line? Absolutely, but Hezbollah's decades of terror have also been a severe tragedy. If Israel is taking this opportunity to end the global threat that Hezbollah represents, then by all means we should be supporting their actions. The buck stops, though, if Israel attacks Syria. I was speaking idiomatically. |
A war is precisely what Hezbollah wanted. Keep in mind that the Israelis were attacking Gaza two weeks before the kidnappings along the border because Hamas kidnapped that Israeli corporal. It was clear from the get go that Israel wasn't going to tolerate another soldier abduction.
Hezbollah knew that Israel had no choice but to retaliate, which means that ultimately Hezbollah's goal was to start another war and gain local political influence by resisting everybody's favorite badguy. What kind of toxic man-thing is happening now? |
Israel withdrew from Lebanon at the turn of the millenium. Hezbollah has no reason to exist anymore other than to serve the regional goals of the Syrians and Iranians, and the reason this war started was because Hezbollah needs to re-assert the need for its existence lest the Lebanese government starts a crackdown. If you honestly want to go back in time to play the blame game we can start this whole mess with Britain and the UN for founding Israel. Saying that the Israelis are the "badguys" is ludicrous. Israelis aren't blowing up cafes and busses. Israelis aren't going into other countries and abducting their soldiers. Israelis don't launch rockets unprovoked into neighboring nations. Israel has always acted in a reactionary measure, and comparing the Israeli government to Apartheid is ludicrous. Arabs in Israel have the same basic rights as Jews, and if the Palestinians desire independance while also harboring and electing elements hostile to Israel then how can Israel act in any other way? You think that if Israel stops reacting to terror that the attacks will stop? You think that if they make a total withdrawal from Palestine that Hamas will just call it a day and go back to doing something constructive? FELIPE NO |
Then why is it that despite Mashal's claim that Hamas would stop armed resistance that the 1988 charter is still in effect? Keep in mind also that Hamas has threatened to start beheadings if attempts are made to arrest members of their cabinet, regardless of however many crimes they've commited.
Why would Mashal tell the Egyptians that Hamas would never change, then tell the Russians a week later that they would stop armed resistance? It's all a bunch of bullshit. A gradual reduction of intimidation since the offer of humda in 2004 (a ten-year truce). You're pretty fucking gullible for swallowing that trite. What, you don't want my bikini-clad body? |
So long as Hamas maintains its militant wing, they are a terrorist organization. Does Labor have its own militia there in aussie land? Do they have turf wars with the Conservatives or kidnap New Zealanders?
Jam it back in, in the dark. |
Alright, let's pretend for a second here that Hamas isn't a terrorist organization. That they're a legitimate governing body, and that their actions reflect directly upon the Palestinian government.
Does the kidnapping of an Israeli soldier not then constitute an act of war? If Hamas is no longer a fringe element, and is the recognized authority in Palestine, then doesn't that mean that they must be held accountable for their actions as a governing body? There's nowhere I can't reach. |
Israel invaded Lebanon because the PLO was at the time launching attacks along its southern border, and they withdrew from Haifa to the security zone after the PLO withdrew its combatants from the region. Israel remained in the zone to keep the PLO from operating within Lebanon, and also keep the newly formed Hezbollah from attacking Israeli territory. Yet despite the purpose of Hezbollah, which was to end the Israeli occupation, they deployed themselves along the Blue Line after Israel's withdrawal in 2000. Why then would Hezbollah not dissolve itself when the threat from Israel had ended? Hezbollah is now a Lebanese power, and their immediate aim is to gain political power in Lebanon. What better way to do that than to stir up the hornet's nest and create a need for their initial existence?
This thing is sticky, and I don't like it. I don't appreciate it. |
Which is why the idea of Iran actually doing anything in response to Israeli aggression is laughable. They can't reach Syria with a US controlled Iraq. They couldn't reach Syria before with a Saddam controlled Iraq. If they launched missiles into Israel, it'd have to go over Iraqi airspace. If they attack shipping in the Gulf with their Silkworms, then they've started a war with the US and everybody that likes oil.
I'm not saying Ahmedinejad is stupid, I'm saying that it's dumb to think that Iran would actually make good on their threats.
Might makes right, even in politics. Also, Cal, the US and the UN did offer to recognize Hamas as the ruling party in Palestine if they gave up their goal of eradicating the state of Israel. The Canadian deaths are tragic. This is probably the best time for the US to pressure Israel to back off and delegitimize Hezbollah. Now is the best time to send the message to the Palestinians: "Look where Hezbollah has gotten you. They've dragged you into a war that you cannot win and for what?" The Lebanese government would be willing to accept anything right now. If the IDF and the Lebanese military threatened joint operations against Hezbollah how long would they remain armed?
Fuck your experience. I don't care if the IDF drove a Merkava through your house. You've given us no reason to believe you've been there.
I am a dolphin, do you want me on your body? |
I also don't care what you think about whether or not I believe you. Who are you to expect us to just take your word for you? If you want people to take your word for it you need them to trust you, and in case you haven't noticed, the internet is a collective of strangers. I don't know anything about you other than you live in Egypt and get boners for Thor, and I don't know anything about your moral fibre or credibility. Taking your word for it is not enough.
I also don't give a shit if you're Aetheist or worship Osiris. You're just some guy on the internet. I'd still like to know what's so illogical about my argument, please.
Fuck it, though, if you can't take in the big picture of this situation, or come up with a better argument to delegitimize Israel's aggression other than your mate is stuck in Lebanon. Styphon's already said it, but allow me to put some more emphasis on it. If you think you can come into Palace threads and troll them, you can fuck off. Clearly us "nationalists" are so Godawful, why do you even post here?
You don't have to like Might Makes Right, it's a fact. I was speaking idiomatically.
Last edited by Bradylama; Jul 17, 2006 at 04:38 PM.
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This is because the people are the ones which dictate what is right. The citizens are the ones that hold most of the cards in a democratic society. The principle hasn't changed, it just means that voters acting as a collective are mightier than their elected representatives.
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If it is rejected, though, then it will be Hezbollah that has decided to extend hostilities.
Would the Lebanese be so willing to live with them then when Hezbollah had a chance to end the killing? If Hezbollah accepts, though, they'll be isolated inside Lebanon in the southeast. If they don't accept, they risk losing support, and if they do, then they'll become marginalised as a regional power. I don't think you're getting it, Onyx. I'm not asking you about Palestinians, I'm asking about Arab Israelis. If Palestinians were Israelis, then it sort of delegitimizes their claim to independence, doesn't it?
It's pretty complicated, now that I think about it. UN members don't actually have to follow its laws because the UN doesn't really pass laws. It passes resolutions. The UN functions on the basis of primitive law and the whims of the Security Council. Member states don't have to follow resolutions if the Security council can't agree to enforce them. So long as you have one friend on the security council (in Israel's case, the US, and NK's China and Russia) who can cast a vetoe, then you're pretty much in the clear. What's even more hilarious, is that if you're a member of the security council, then you can simply vetoe any measure of enforcing a resolution upon your state. It's a charming organization, sure, but when UN interests don't meet those of a single Security Council member, the whole process becomes meaningless.
I can tell you, though, that considering the nature of reward incentives for locals turning in "terrorists" there's going to be a large number of innocent men in our Black Ops prisons. I can't really comment on Israel's detainees, though.
Israel does lack any appreciable amount of restraint, short of a ground invasion. Dropping leaflets isn't a forewarning so much as the IDF is telling Lebanese "Your lives or your livelihoods." A lot of Lebanese probably think they have no choice but to stay with their possessions. Even if they do live in the basement of a Hezbollah broadcasting station.
If Israel doesn't present a threat to Lebanon, though, there won't even be a need for militias. Hezbollah was founded, after all, when Israel's second occupation became more permanent in 1982. Israel's reluctance to send ground troops into Lebanon probably reflects a policy of delegitimizing the need for militias to protect Lebanese lands from Israeli aggression. Like I said before, Israel needs to try and delegitimize the need for Hezbollah in Lebanon. This offer of a cease-fire is a great step in that direction. Now Israel and the US need to start making inroads with the Lebanese government towards moving against Hezbollah jointly. FELIPE NO
Last edited by Bradylama; Jul 17, 2006 at 03:50 PM.
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Let's put it this way. Israel has killed ten times as many Lebanese as Hezbollah have killed Israelis. Israel is tearing up the Lebanese infrastructure. Beirut should have plenty to fear from Israel.
Alternatively, going to war with Hezbollah risks another civil war and Syrian intervention. Though, if the Israelis and Lebanese military can work together to drive Hezbollah out of southern Lebanon, Syria can't intervene, and the likelihood of a civil war springing up becomes severely reduced so long as Israeli troops stay south of the border while providing air support. US support will be key, though. If the US can help send arms to the Lebanese, then their effectiveness becomes increased considerably, and the US's position regarding Lebanon is no longer questionable. The question comes in, though, on wether that hardware would be for lease or on loan. Perhaps we could send an expeditionary force?
As for Israeli troops in Lebanon, didn't they go across the border to attack Hezbollan positions before going right back across, or is this a full-blown invasion that I haven't heard about?
What, you don't want my bikini-clad body?
Last edited by Bradylama; Jul 17, 2006 at 04:56 PM.
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You said it because you thought I'd assume that you'd have a religious bias against Israel being a Muslim. I don't care if you're Muslim. Hell, your proximity to the region only serves to give you bias. Or did you not think that one through?
How much do you know about this that hasn't been presented to you through Arab media? I can ask you all of these same questions, and what can you do? You still haven't provided any examples of your experience. That implies to me that you don't actually have any experience, and don't want to be exposed as a liar, and a troll. I support Israel's actions, though I think they could go about doing this better if they started backing off and engaging with the Lebanese diplomatically, which may just be the case. Israel can't act with restraint, because they can't help but attack civilian targets if they want to fight Hezbollah, which they have to. The most important measure of restraint they've practiced has been keeping their troops on the other side of the border, which is very commendable, and implies a desire to avoid another Hezbollah, or increase support for Hezbollah. Also, please tell me which of my statements need proving, and what it is about my argument that lacks logic. Jam it back in, in the dark. |
) Most mods wouldn't be so lenient regarding a spurning of a warning, but whatever, you're just another hothead, no loss.
Israel isn't the hottest property on the globe, but I would sooner side with the Israelis than a bunch of wackos that think blowing up civilians will destroy their neighbor, or an organization that carries out assaults on a sovereign nation as a means of garnering political power. Also, are you implying that Israel isn't a sovereign state?
It's too controversial a subject to debate in this thread, but what we do know is that Israeli troops reported the massacre to their superiors, and were then told not to intervene as they provided logistical support to the Phalangists. We also know, due to investigations by Mossad, that there were no PLO members in Sabra, despite Sharon's claim that there were still 2,000 PLO members in the camp. The need for sending in the Phalangists in the first place. Israelis also kept the refugees from leaving the camps, despite the knowlege that the Phalangists were perpetrating a massacre. Of course, a lot of this wouldn't have been known in the first place if 300,000 Israelis hadn't demonstrated in Tel-Aviv to begin with. Israel has definitely been a part of some foul stuff in the past. Though, Israel has always acted from the standpoint of protection against aggression. That still doesn't mean, however, that they are above criticism, even internally. Interestingly enough, I've learned that there may have been a Syrian involvement in the massacre, if even indirectly. The reason the Israelis invaded Western Beirut in the first place was as a response to the assasination of President Bachir Gemayel by a man who was a member of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party, and who claimed to be an agent of Syrian intelligence. In addition to that, Elie Hoboka, who was the commander of the Phalangists that perpetrated the massacre, was reported by Mossad to be maintaining his Syrian contacts, and in fact later openly switched sides to the Syrians.
Militias like the Haganah would have never existed in the first place had it not been for the Arab riots in 1921 that killed more than a hundred Jews. Arab attacks following World War 2 led to Jewish reprisals and a civil war following British withdrawal. At the founding of Israel, all of its surrounding neighbors attacked it without provocation. While the Israelis gained 10% of the land originally afforded to them, the Jordanians came away with the West Bank, and the Egyptians the Gaza Strip. Egypt nationalized the Suez canal while Nasser expanded his military ambitions and encouraged Fedayeen based in Egypt to attack Israel. In 1967, Egypt expelled peacekeepers from Gaza and cut off shipping at the Straights of Tiran, while they, Jordan, and Syria threatened war with Israel, prompting Israel to pre-emptively attack Egypt, while subsequently repelling the Jordanians and the Syrians, capturing the Sinai, West Bank, and Golan Heights in the 6 Day War. Border skirmishes with the Egyptians and Syrians led to the surprise attack on Israel in Yom-Kippur, and following Israel's success, they got the bomb. No more Arab-Israeli wars. Why so much hostility towards the Jews? Number of reasons. Starting in the 19th Century, Jews were buying up lands in Palestine from the Ottomans in order to escape pogroms and as a measure to eventually establish a Jewish state. This led to understandable consternation among Arab palestinians, however, they were never guaranteed their own nation until they assisted the British in helping fight the Ottomans in WW1. Then Britain stabbed Palestinians in the back with the Balfour Declaration, which declared that the Jews would eventually gain their own nation in Palestinian territory. You claim that Israel was like a growing tumor in another nation, but that nation never existed. It wasn't even intended to be founded until the British made promises to Palestinians that they couldn't keep, knowing full well the land legitimately owned by Zionist organizations. So ultimately the problem with Israel is that it exists. Palestinians don't think it should, despite its legitimacy, and in the beginning Israel's arab neighbors saw it as an excuse to divide up Palestine between themselves. The one time Israel acted aggressively was during Operation Suzannah, when the Israelis tried to keep the British in the Suez by starting low-key bombings in Gaza and Egypt. An event that took years for Israel to patch up relations with the US, and gave Egypt the excuse to persecute Egyptian Jews after its failure. There's nowhere I can't reach.
Last edited by Bradylama; Jul 17, 2006 at 08:27 PM.
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People only recognize the existence of Palestine because of the commonality between Arabs in the West Bank and Gaza and their mutual interests.
But then, I'm not Catholic, and I don't kiss the remains of dead dudes.
How about this one. Are you ready for it? Why not attack the forced expulsion operations themselves?
If this is honestly the Honest-To-God Truth, then why haven't we made aggressions towards Egypt? Why did Israel cede the Sinai back to the Egyptians? That's a doozy. If all you've seen from Israel is advancement, why cede the biggest buffer against Egyptian aggression they could have? Also, where are you getting this description of the Promised Land? Also, isn't the tunneling under the Al Aqsa being performed for the sake of archeological curiosity?
This thing is sticky, and I don't like it. I don't appreciate it. |
Am I still the only one who thinks the Zionist conspiracy working through the United States is crazy as fuck?
I am a dolphin, do you want me on your body? |
People haven't been "doing" much to Iran. For the past decade it's mostly been Iran doing things to others.
I'm not denying that there is a pro-Israeli lobby in the US, but the idea that the United States invaded Iraq due to an unfounded expansionist agenda by Zionist hardliners is laughable. It discounts the involvement of a myriad of other interests, including huge Arab Oil lobbies, oil interests foreign and domestic, not to mention the oil interests of our President and his cronies, as well as the overall strategic position of Iraq in the War on Terror, the protection of the American Petrodollar against the Euro, and the preservation of Middle Eastern regimes that are at least cordial when it comes to relations with the United States. I don't buy for a second that it's a means for Israel to expand to the Euphrates, because doing so is logistically and politically impossible for Israel to accomplish. Even assuming that you're right, and that Israeli policy is dictated by expansionistic Zionists, it'd be impossible to maintain an Israeli force across the desert and into western Iraq without first neutralizing Israel's immediate neighbors. Even then, such a huge expansion would not only raise the wrath of the entirety of the Arab League, but invite intervention by an international body, and cause opinion of Israel in the US to drop like a stone, if not cause US intervention against Israel. Gotta watch those Israelis, though. Just because it doesn't look like they're making any overtures towards major territorial expansion and express no interest in doing so doesn't mean they couldn't be secretly plotting to accomplish the impossible! It's insane. Absolutely insane. It's also not hard for pro-Israeli interests to drum up support for Israel when they remain a reactionary force in the region. Discounting who "started it," Israel hasn't initiated violent conflict in decades. At the worst, Israel's invasion of Lebanon is akin to the US's Vietnam and Iraq, and the USSR's Afghanistan. The invasion was made under false pretenses (the attempted assasination of an Israeli diplomat was performed by a Palestinian terrorist unaffiliated with the PLO and reports of Palestinian aggression from Lebanon the year before the invasion were grossly exaggerated by the Likud) which while serving in the immediate terms the eradication of the PLO as an effective fighting force, only gave rise to new enemies in the form of Hezbollah, and a domination of Lebanese society by the Syrians that would cripple stability in Lebanon for a decade. You can say that Israel creates a lot of it's own problems, and you'd be absolutely right, but the only organizations with any legitimacy for aggression against Israel are Palestinian. Nations like Syria and Iran have no right to use Palestine as an excuse to further their own regional agendas, megalomaniacs like Bin Laden have no real ties to Palestine, or even an interest in their freedom, and Hezbollah hasn't had any reason to maintain aggression towards Israel since they withdrew across the Blue Line in 2000. I was speaking idiomatically. |
So are you implying a kind of proxy enforcement, as was the case with the Nazi occupation of Europe? Good luck with that. Getting arab agencies to oppress other arabs for the sake of Israel wouldn't last very long at all.
The Palestinians have been shit on long enough to justify their aggression towards Israel, but the methods of these liberation organizations don't give them much credence.
What kind of toxic man-thing is happening now? |
Oh make no mistake, the Israelis could easily sweep through Lebanon. The problem lies in the aftereffects of another Israeli-led invasion into Lebanon.
FELIPE NO |
I was actually thinking about how great it would be to get an Israeli perspective here. It's also great, because you're a lot more articulate than other Israelis I've seen.
I didn't mean to imply that Israel should stop attacking Hezbollah when I said that they should back off. What I was getting at was that Israel needs to lighten the pressure on the Lebanese so that inroads can be made between the Israelis and the Lebanese government. If Lebanon isn't an active player in the destruction of Hezbollah, then another organization will take its place even if you do destroy them. War zone or not, the IDF is taking out civilian targets. This is an inescapeable fact, and no amount of excusing is going to change that. However, the IDF also can't be blamed for doing so, since, as you've pointed out, Hezbollah has made it an active policy to put the people of Lebanon in harm's way. A reporter from CNN was allowed into South Beirut several hours after the Israelis reported they dropped 26 tons of bombs on a Hezbollah headquarters (an earlier reporter was turned away, I wonder why?). It was indeed a mosque under construction that was hit, but despite the lack of any materiel, the reporter did note that it had an unusually large basement for a Mosque. It's nobody's fault but Hezbollah, and their supporters, that Lebanese have to be killed over this. Who do they intend to protect when they leave rocket stockpiles in neighborhoods?
People expect Israel to be the moral superior, and so far they've done so. The IDF says it's been holding back 1/5th of their operational capability, and I believe it. Southern Beirut would be nothing but rubble now if the IDF wasn't sensitive of collateral damage. This is the nature of war, though. So long as you're the winner, there's no need to excuse yourself. I like how the leader of Hezbollah claimed that the two Palestinian kids they killed with Katjusha rockets were Martyrs for Palestine. As if he had the right to declare it.
What, you don't want my bikini-clad body? |
It's probably because the Iranians didn't give them the go ahead for the kidnappings, which means that Hezbollah's command is acting without Iranian advice. Despite Iranian and Syrian support, Hezbollah is still a militia, and they'll act despite the influence put on them by Damascus and Tehran.
Then again, spokesmen for both nations speak in half-truths, plausible deniability, or have repeatedly dodged questions. The Syrian ambassador to the US has appeared on Larry King Live several times, and done a skillful job of blaming Israel for the problem without implicating Syria in any involvement.
This is what I was trying to get at before with CryHavoc by asking why Hamas wouldn't target the tools of oppression. Organizations like Hamas aren't actually interested in the liberation of the West Bank and Gaza, they're more interested in garnering power as regional and political forces. The charity organizations set up by Hamas and Hezbollah are proof enough of that. It basically comes down to warrior politics, and every now and then they need to flex their muscles with a cafe bombing or a soldier kidnapping to prove to irate Palestinians that they're still on the up-and-up. Buying votes with medicine and vindication. I bet you the impending medical crisis in Lebanon created by the IDF's destruction of Lebanese infrastructure will receive a significant leg up from the friendly neighborhood Hezbollah.
Jam it back in, in the dark. |